Tuesday 2 October 2018

KIJHL Power Rankings: September 2018

Stats analysis, my favourite.

Let's dive into the KIJHL Power Rankings, something that has been happening for nearly five years.

For those new, let's look at the categories:

  • Offence - ranked by goals scored forced per game
  • Defence - ranked by goals scored against per game
  • Special Teams - The Scotty Bowman analysis, add the penalty kill and power play together for a special teams point total. Teams are then ranked by their special teams total.
  • Goaltending - (the new website has some quirks, but something I love is that it has goaltender totals! I no longer have to manually calculate a teams save percentage) ranked by the teams save percentage.
  • Total - is the adding of each ranked category. It's like golf, lowest score is better.
  • Win Percent Rank - ranking of KI teams win percentage
  • W%-PR - win percentage minus power ranking, a way to see how teams are performing according to their power ranking. A negative score is under performing, positive is over performing.
Let's use the Kimberley Dynamiters as an example. Their 4.75 goals forced per game is 4th in the KIJHL, 4 points. They have an average 2.88 goals scored against them per game, 6th in the league, 6 points. Adding their PP and PK together equals 110.61, 5th in the league, 5 points. The teams save percentage is .891, 13th in the league, 13 points. 4+6+5+13=28, that is their total power ranked score, which places them 7th in the KIJHL Power Rankings. Their win percentage is 4th best in the league, so the difference is -3. This means that the Nitro's are finding ways to win in games that they probably should not be winning.

Another difference example is 100 Mile House Wranglers, they are Power Ranked 4th, but win percentage is 9th, a difference of +5. This means that despite their record, the Wranglers are a difficult team to play against.

But few really care for all that analysis, most just want to know where their team is ranked. So here you have it, the full power rankings (click on image to enlarge):

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