Friday 22 February 2019

KIJHL Power Rankings: February 2019 & KIJHL Final Predictions


As we head into the last weekend of the KIJHL regular season, it seemed like a great opportunity to do the power rankings.

The Power Rankings looks at how a team is doing offensively, defensively, effectiveness on special teams, and goaltending. It then ranks those categories and compares them to the standings. The difference between he ranking and the standings shows (when positive) that a team is playing better than their record suggests, or (when negative) that a team is finding ways to win even despite their statistical execution.

A couple of highlights:

  • Revelstoke Grizzlies are power ranked #1, which is two spots higher than their place in the standings.
    • Which this means they are, in my opinion, the statistical favourite, to win the league.
  • Osoyoos Coyotes, #13 and in the standings they are 16th, which is a difference of +3. The Princeton Posse are #16, in the standings 15th, for a difference of -1.
    • Again, in my opinion, a 4th seed, in this case, is performing better than the 3rd seed. 
    • See Also: Golden Rockets and Columbia Valley Rockies
Playoff Final Prediction:
Revelstoke Grizzlies vs Kimberley Dynamiters. With Grizzlies winning.

Before we get to the rankings, a quick word on eye-test (emotional) and stats (rational). Power Rankings are purely the statistical/rational side of analysis and our brain, and doesn't take into account the eye-test or emotional side of analyzing and our brain. So while I present the statistical outcome, it doesn't take into account the "human" factor, that emotions could end up driving a team and creating upsets. Also, if I went with the emotional side and relied just on my heart, I'd have Kimberley winning the finals, and number one in every category.

Now to the KIJHL Power Rankings (click to enlarge):


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