Thursday, 13 November 2014

Which KIJHL Teams depend on their top, or top 3 scorers?

Since we are approaching the midway point in the season, I was interested in which teams depend on their top line the most for their point production, and which teams have a more balanced offensive attack.

I should note an assumption, I am assuming that the top three scorers are on the same offensive line (which is not always the case). And therefore if a team is top line heavy, and you can shut them down, odds of winning against them are good.

But I was also curious which teams rely on their #1 scorer, again from a defensive standpoint if you can shut him down, the odds of defeating them increase.

While I have debated how to present this data, I have just sorted it by the % of the team points that the top three scorers get. The data is up for interpretation, I have provided some of my observations at the bottom. (Stats are as of November 13)

The fields are:

  • Top 3 TTL - Total combined points by the teams top three point getters
  • TTL Team - Total combined points by all the players on the team
  • % of Pts - The % of the team combined points that the top three account for
  • Top 1 % - The % of the team combined points that the teams top scorer accounts for
Team Top 3 TTL Team TTL % of Pts Top 1 %
Columbia Valley Rockies 60 126 47.62% 20.63%
Grand Forks Border Bruins 77 172 44.77% 19.77%
Summerland Steam 66 154 42.86% 20.78%
North Okanagan Knights 43 102 42.16% 16.67%
Kelowna Chiefs 69 172 40.12% 17.44%
Chase Heat 68 183 37.16% 14.21%
Castlegar Rebels 69 188 36.70% 19.15%
Kimberley Dynamiters 74 215 34.42% 13.49%
Beaver Valley Nitehawks 61 179 34.08% 12.85%
Golden Rockets 65 191 34.03% 12.57%
Fernie Ghostriders 68 201 33.83% 13.43%
Osoyoos Coyotes 99 296 33.45% 11.82%
Kamloops Storm 74 223 33.18% 12.56%
100 Mile House Wranglers 55 168 32.74% 11.90%
Spokane Braves 60 184 32.61% 11.41%
Princeton Posse 58 183 31.69% 11.48%
Nelson Leafs 71 228 31.14% 10.96%
Revelstoke Grizzlies 47 152 30.92% 12.50%
Creston Valley Thunder Cats 50 162 30.86% 11.11%
Sicamous Eagles 48 179 26.82% 9.50%

A couple of observations:
  • Columbia Valley Rockies have nearly 50% of their points scored by their top three, also 20% of their teams points is scored by their top scorer.
  • Summerland Steam is the only other team to have their top scorer account for 20% of their points; Grand Forks Border Bruins and Castlegar Rebels are close to the 20% though.
  • Four other teams besides the Rockies have 40% of their points scored by their top three: Kelowna, North Okanagan, Summerland, and Grand Forks.
  • The Sicamous Eagles were the only team to have less than 30% of their points scored by their top three, and also less than 10% scored by their top point player. This suggests that it doesn't matter what line the Eagles throw out there, they all have a balanced chance of scoring.

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